Ayia Napa vs Ethnikos Assias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayia Napa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PAF
3 - 1
AYI
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
AYI
0 - 0
ENP
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
OMO
0 - 2
AYI
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
PAE
1 - 0
AYI
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AYI
3 - 1
ONI
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Assias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ETH
0 - 0
OTH
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
AKR
2 - 2
ETH
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ETH
1 - 3
APO
38%
26%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
APE
0 - 1
ETH
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ETH
1 - 0
ATR
44%
25%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |