Ayamonte vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
RAM
1 - 1
AYA
23%
25%
53%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1998 |
AYA
2 - 1
UTR
40%
28%
32%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
RAY
0 - 1
AYA
16%
23%
61%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
AYA
2 - 1
LAP
41%
27%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
CAD
2 - 1
AYA
33%
27%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
LUC
1 - 0
SAN
50%
27%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1998 |
POZ
0 - 0
LUC
26%
27%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
LUC
1 - 0
COR
46%
29%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
BAL
0 - 2
LUC
36%
27%
37%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
LUC
1 - 0
CDR
43%
27%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |