Ayamonte vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
OVA
2 - 0
AYA
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
AYA
1 - 1
LAP
66%
19%
16%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
AYA
0 - 0
SEV
38%
25%
38%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
BCA
2 - 1
AYA
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
AYA
2 - 0
COR
76%
14%
9%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
JER
2 - 0
BCA
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
COR
1 - 3
JER
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
JER
2 - 1
UTR
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
XER
1 - 0
JER
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
JER
6 - 2
RIO
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |