Avro vs Runcorn Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LIT
1 - 2
AFC
11%
16%
73%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 2
LTO
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ASH
4 - 0
AFC
15%
18%
67%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -3 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
BAR
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 2
LBR
67%
18%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Runcorn Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
LTO
2 - 2
RUN
67%
18%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RUN
1 - 4
CHA
48%
21%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SQU
0 - 3
RUN
62%
18%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
RUN
2 - 2
VAU
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RUN
0 - 2
NOR
57%
20%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |