Avro vs Prestwich Heys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 2
CHA
55%
21%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
RUN
4 - 1
AFC
51%
21%
27%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
RUN
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 0
IRL
63%
19%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 1
AFC
15%
18%
67%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Prestwich Heys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PRH
4 - 1
WIN
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PRH
0 - 3
RYL
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
3 - 1
PRH
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 1
PRH
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
PRH
3 - 5
CHA
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |