Avrig vs Caransebeş analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avrig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
3 - 0
AVR
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
AVR
1 - 4
PAN
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 1
AVR
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
AVR
1 - 5
HUN
17%
25%
59%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
NUO
2 - 1
AVR
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Caransebeş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
5 - 0
TII
61%
22%
16%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
JIU
0 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
VUL
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
MUN
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |