Avranches vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 1
AVR
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
AVR
1 - 0
RED
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
AVR
42%
27%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
QUE
1 - 1
AVR
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ANN
3 - 2
AVR
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
CRF
1 - 0
USB
10%
16%
74%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
USB
2 - 2
ORL
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
USB
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
USB
0 - 0
BOU
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
USB
1 - 1
FBB
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |