Avranches vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
AVR
0 - 0
CAB
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
BOU
2 - 0
AVR
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
AVR
0 - 1
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
COL
0 - 3
AVR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
AVR
0 - 0
USB
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
4 - 0
SPI
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
SPI
2 - 3
AMI
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
FRE
4 - 1
SPI
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
SPI
1 - 1
IST
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 1
SPI
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |