Avranches vs Orléans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
RED
2 - 1
AVR
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 0
CHA
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
USB
1 - 2
AVR
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 1
CON
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
STL
0 - 0
AVR
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Orléans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
ORL
0 - 0
CHO
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
FBB
2 - 2
ORL
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ORL
1 - 2
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
ANN
0 - 0
ORL
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
ORL
0 - 0
STA
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |