Avranches vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
BEZ
2 - 0
AVR
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
AVR
3 - 2
QUE
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
LYO
1 - 4
AVR
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
AVR
1 - 0
CHO
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
USB
3 - 1
AVR
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
RED
1 - 2
CON
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
BEZ
37%
27%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
QUE
0 - 1
CON
59%
22%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
CON
3 - 0
LYO
15%
24%
60%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
GAZ
2 - 0
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |