Avranches U17 vs Cholet U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
13º
12º
29
7º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 3
AVR
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 3
STR
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 1
AVR
40%
22%
39%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 3
GUI
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BRE
4 - 2
AVR
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Cholet U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
0 - 3
NAN
10%
14%
76%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 0
CHO
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 2
SRS
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 2
VAN
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 3
CHO
21%
20%
60%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |