Avranches II vs Bayeux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DIV
2 - 2
AVR
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 2
AVR
63%
20%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AVR
0 - 2
SAI
31%
24%
46%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 0
AVR
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
AVR
2 - 1
CHE
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BAY
0 - 1
SAI
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 2
BAY
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BAY
0 - 0
AGC
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
AFV
3 - 0
BAY
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SAI
3 - 1
BAY
75%
15%
11%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |