Avondale Heights vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avondale Heights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
POR
0 - 1
AVH
8%
16%
76%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
AVH
3 - 0
OAK
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
GRE
5 - 2
AVH
12%
19%
70%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AVH
4 - 0
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
HEU
3 - 1
AVH
24%
25%
52%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 2
SOU
19%
23%
59%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
HEU
2 - 1
MEL
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ALM
4 - 0
MEL
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 2
DAC
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
HUM
2 - 1
MEL
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |