Avondale Heights vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-75%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
5º
2º
35
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avondale Heights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
AVH
2 - 1
STA
89%
9%
3%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
DAC
0 - 1
AVH
17%
20%
63%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AVH
5 - 1
POR
73%
17%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 3
AVH
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AVH
0 - 1
GRE
84%
11%
5%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
MEL
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 1
SOU
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 3
GRE
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 3
MEL
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 1
OAK
25%
24%
52%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |