Aveley vs Ilford FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
POT
4 - 2
AVE
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
AVE
2 - 0
WAL
34%
26%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
WAR
2 - 3
AVE
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
NOR
0 - 2
AVE
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
AVE
0 - 6
BRE
28%
26%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ilford FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ILF
0 - 3
MAL
19%
27%
54%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ILF
1 - 0
WIV
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
CAN
4 - 0
ILF
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BUR
2 - 2
ILF
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
ILF
2 - 3
ARL
26%
25%
49%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |