Aveley vs Cheshunt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
TIL
1 - 3
AVE
50%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
AVE
3 - 1
WAR
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
AVE
5 - 1
CHA
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
YEL
2 - 3
AVE
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
THA
3 - 2
AVE
45%
24%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cheshunt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 3
THA
27%
25%
48%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
ILF
3 - 3
CHE
15%
20%
66%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 3
ROM
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 3
SOH
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 4
CHE
76%
16%
9%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +1 |