Aveley vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AVE
0 - 3
TON
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 0
AVE
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MAI
1 - 1
AVE
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
HAR
1 - 2
AVE
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AVE
0 - 3
CRA
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 2
YEL
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
LOW
1 - 1
CAN
70%
18%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CAN
0 - 2
KIN
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
CAN
3 - 0
BUR
18%
23%
60%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 0
CAN
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |