Denmark Third Division Group 1 Round 14

Avarta vs Holbæk B&I analysis

Avarta Holbæk B&I
56 ELO 45
-1.3% Tilt 2.6%
5951º General ELO ranking 3485º
70º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
65.5%
Avarta
20.2%
Draw
14.3%
Holbæk B&I

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
Avarta
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.3%
Win probability
Holbæk B&I
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Avarta
-32%
+37%
Holbæk B&I

ELO progression

Avarta
Holbæk B&I
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avarta
Avarta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2016
B93
B93
0 - 0
Avarta
AVA
51%
24%
25%
55 58 3 0
23 Oct. 2016
AVA
Avarta
1 - 1
Frem 1886
FRE
35%
26%
39%
55 59 4 0
14 Oct. 2016
HVI
Hvidovre IF
0 - 0
Avarta
AVA
48%
25%
28%
56 56 0 -1
08 Oct. 2016
BRØ
Brønshøj
2 - 3
Avarta
AVA
44%
27%
29%
55 58 3 +1
02 Oct. 2016
AVA
Avarta
4 - 0
Fredensborg BI
FRE
69%
19%
12%
55 44 11 0

Matches

Holbæk B&I
Holbæk B&I
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2016
HOL
Holbæk B&I
0 - 1
Frem 1886
FRE
23%
23%
54%
45 58 13 0
26 Oct. 2016
HOL
Holbæk B&I
1 - 3
AGF Aarhus
AGF
4%
10%
86%
46 76 30 -1
21 Oct. 2016
HVI
Hvidovre IF
2 - 1
Holbæk B&I
HOL
68%
19%
13%
47 57 10 -1
16 Oct. 2016
HOL
Holbæk B&I
2 - 3
B93
B93
28%
25%
48%
47 59 12 0
08 Oct. 2016
FRE
Fredensborg BI
1 - 0
Holbæk B&I
HOL
36%
26%
38%
47 45 2 0