Avarta vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
AKA
2 - 1
AVA
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 2
AVA
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 3
JAM
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 1
B93
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 4
FCH
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
AAF
5 - 0
BRØ
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
AAF
1 - 0
FCH
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
VAN
1 - 1
AAF
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DAL
0 - 2
AAF
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
VOL
0 - 2
AAF
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |