Avanti vs Svelta Melsele analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avanti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
DRO
0 - 1
AVA
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 1
NIN
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
KRU
2 - 2
AVA
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AVA
4 - 0
TKM
75%
15%
11%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VOO
3 - 1
AVA
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Svelta Melsele
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
DEJ
2 - 0
SVE
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SVE
3 - 0
DRO
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
NIN
0 - 0
SVE
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SVE
2 - 3
KRU
53%
22%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
TKM
1 - 3
SVE
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |