AG Caennaise vs Avranches II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
5º
4º
32
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 0
AGC
26%
22%
53%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AGC
3 - 0
DIV
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LEH
0 - 2
AGC
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AGC
1 - 1
OIS
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AGC
1 - 1
GON
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 2
DIV
48%
23%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OIS
1 - 0
AVR
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 1
GON
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
AVR
64%
20%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 1
ALE
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |