Avangard Kursk vs Akhmat Grozny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2007 |
AVA
1 - 0
ANZ
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
MET
4 - 3
AVA
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
SIB
3 - 0
AVA
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2007 |
AVA
0 - 1
SKA
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2007 |
AVA
5 - 2
ZIR
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Akhmat Grozny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2007 |
DIN
2 - 2
TER
35%
29%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
PER
3 - 1
TER
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
TER
2 - 1
MAS
73%
19%
8%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
TER
0 - 2
ALA
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2007 |
TEK
0 - 1
TER
17%
26%
56%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |