Avangard Kursk vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 1
AVA
15%
23%
62%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 0
ZEN
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 0
MET
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
AVA
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
AVA
4 - 1
SOK
53%
23%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
KAL
3 - 1
VIT
21%
24%
54%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SOK
1 - 1
KAL
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
KAL
3 - 1
ZVE
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FKG
1 - 1
KAL
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
KAL
1 - 1
LOK
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |