Avance Ezcabarte vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avance Ezcabarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 1
AVA
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 4
CDA
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
AVA
5 - 1
SUB
42%
23%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
OSA
2 - 1
AVA
82%
13%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
AVA
3 - 1
CDC
70%
17%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
RUN
4 - 0
PEÑ
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
BUR
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
HUA
2 - 1
PEÑ
7%
16%
78%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
PEÑ
3 - 3
RUN
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
PAM
0 - 2
PEÑ
11%
18%
71%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |