Avanca vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
AVA
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
AVA
0 - 1
ALB
38%
25%
38%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 1
AVA
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
AVA
1 - 3
OLI
37%
24%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
AVA
3 - 4
OLI
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
4 - 1
OLI
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
PEN
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 0
SAL
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GDP
2 - 1
PEN
13%
20%
67%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 2
AGU
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |