Avanca vs Esmoriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
RDA
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BAI
1 - 1
AVA
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OVA
1 - 1
AVA
72%
17%
12%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
AVA
4 - 1
CAL
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ESC
2 - 2
AVA
18%
21%
62%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Esmoriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ESM
1 - 0
CAN
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RDA
0 - 0
ESM
83%
11%
5%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 2
ESM
62%
20%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ESM
1 - 0
BAI
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ESM
0 - 2
FIA
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |