Avaldsnes IL vs Varegg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
68.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaldsnes IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
OTF
2 - 3
AIL
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
AIL
3 - 1
SIL
47%
23%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AIL
1 - 4
ARN
12%
18%
70%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
STA
1 - 3
AIL
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
AIL
2 - 2
AIL
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Varegg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
STA
81%
13%
7%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AIL
1 - 0
VAR
15%
21%
64%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
BJA
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
AIK
3 - 0
VAR
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
TTI
1 - 0
VAR
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | -1 |