Avaí vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 2
AVA
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 0
AMF
27%
30%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
AVA
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
JUV
3 - 0
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 1
CSA
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
CON
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CRZ
2 - 0
PAR
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 0
OES
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
CUI
3 - 3
PAR
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAM
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |