Avaí vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 1
LON
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CRI
0 - 1
AVA
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
AVA
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 1
BRA
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LON
0 - 1
AVA
37%
30%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MET
0 - 0
TUB
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MET
0 - 2
CAX
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ITU
5 - 0
MET
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 2
MET
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
MET
2 - 0
GRE
45%
25%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |