Avaí vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2010 |
COR
4 - 0
AVA
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
AVA
1 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
GOI
2 - 2
AVA
51%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GOI
1 - 0
AVA
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
AVA
3 - 1
EME
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
BOT
3 - 2
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ATM
0 - 2
BOT
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
VIT
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FLU
0 - 0
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BOT
0 - 0
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |