Auxerre vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
LHA
1 - 2
AUX
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
AUX
2 - 0
LIL
33%
30%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ASN
0 - 2
AUX
48%
26%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
AUX
0 - 0
LOR
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 0
AUX
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 0
VAL
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SOC
1 - 2
TFC
39%
29%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
TFC
2 - 0
LMU
39%
28%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
REN
0 - 0
TFC
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 8
TFC
9%
20%
71%
|
82 | 13 | 69 | 0 |