Auxerre vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
AUX
4 - 0
NAN
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2005 |
LMU
0 - 2
AUX
29%
28%
43%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
AUX
3 - 2
LIL
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 1
AUX
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 2
STR
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 1
MAR
31%
29%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASN
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 0
LMU
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
NAN
3 - 0
ASN
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |