Auxerre vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
PSG
2 - 1
AUX
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
AUX
1 - 2
TOU
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1982 |
MET
1 - 0
AUX
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
STR
2 - 2
AUX
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
AUX
3 - 1
ASS
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
LEN
4 - 0
BRE
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1982 |
MET
0 - 0
LEN
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
LEN
3 - 2
SOC
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
PSG
2 - 1
LEN
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
LEN
0 - 0
MON
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |