Auxerre vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CF7
4 - 6
AUX
3%
9%
88%
|
68 | 11 | 57 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
DIJ
3 - 1
AUX
28%
26%
47%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
LIM
2 - 4
AUX
4%
13%
83%
|
69 | 32 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AUX
4 - 1
PAU
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 2
AUX
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
PFC
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
DIN
1 - 1
CAE
8%
17%
75%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AMI
0 - 0
CAE
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
GRE
34%
29%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 1
CAE
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |