Auxerre vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
STR
2 - 1
AUX
32%
27%
40%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
AUX
0 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
GIR
0 - 0
AUX
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
AUX
2 - 0
LIL
74%
18%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
NIC
0 - 1
AUX
25%
27%
48%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
CAE
0 - 0
MET
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
LHA
1 - 1
CAE
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CAE
1 - 1
LYO
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
PSG
2 - 0
CAE
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
CAE
0 - 2
LEN
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |