Autol vs Yagüe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 0
AUT
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
AUT
1 - 1
OYO
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VIA
0 - 1
AUT
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AUT
0 - 1
AGO
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RAP
1 - 1
AUT
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
OYO
0 - 1
YAG
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
YAG
1 - 1
AGO
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 2
YAG
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
YAG
2 - 2
NAX
14%
18%
69%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 0
YAG
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | +1 |