Autol vs Yagüe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
IZA
2 - 0
AUT
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
AUT
0 - 0
PEÑ
24%
27%
49%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
BUR
2 - 0
AUT
69%
20%
11%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
AUT
3 - 2
HAR
44%
26%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
ALF
2 - 1
AUT
78%
16%
6%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
YAG
2 - 0
SAN
33%
28%
39%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
RIV
3 - 0
YAG
65%
22%
13%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
YAG
3 - 4
CDB
33%
28%
40%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
OBE
2 - 1
YAG
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
YAG
1 - 2
CHA
29%
28%
42%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |