Autol vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
AUT
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AUT
0 - 1
HAR
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CDC
2 - 6
AUT
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
AUT
2 - 0
CAS
29%
25%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAV
0 - 3
AUT
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 1
NAX
48%
23%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
YAG
0 - 1
RAP
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 1
OYO
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
RAP
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RAP
1 - 0
ALB
73%
17%
11%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |