Autol vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
AUT
15%
21%
64%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
AUT
0 - 1
NAX
18%
21%
61%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ANG
3 - 0
AUT
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
AUT
0 - 0
HAR
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
AUT
3 - 1
BAÑ
88%
9%
3%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NAX
1 - 0
CAL
94%
5%
1%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 4
HAR
6%
13%
82%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ARN
3 - 0
CAL
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALF
8%
15%
78%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 3
PRA
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -2 |