Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
6º
5º
42
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 9 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
STR
3 - 2
AUS
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 2
SKA
51%
23%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
3 - 3
AUS
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
RBS
3 - 3
AUS
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 2
LAS
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
0 - 2
STR
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
STR
3 - 2
AUS
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
STR
0 - 2
RBS
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SKA
0 - 2
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LAS
2 - 1
STR
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |