Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
AUS
1 - 2
LAN
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
HOD
3 - 0
AUS
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
VAN
2 - 1
AUS
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
AUS
3 - 5
DAL
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
AUS
3 - 1
POR
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
SJE
3 - 4
RSL
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 1
SJE
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SJE
0 - 1
COR
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 2
SJE
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
SJE
1 - 1
MIN
34%
24%
42%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |