Aurrera KE vs Zumaiako analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
EUS
2 - 1
AUR
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
TRI
35%
26%
39%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
HER
6 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
AMA
2 - 3
AUR
20%
24%
57%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
AUR
0 - 0
AFT
58%
24%
19%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zumaiako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
ZUM
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ZUM
0 - 1
AMA
69%
18%
12%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ZUM
0 - 1
HON
39%
25%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
ZUM
4 - 0
REA
19%
24%
57%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +4 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
UPV
2 - 1
ZUM
66%
20%
14%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |