Aurrera KE vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SDU
1 - 2
AUR
23%
21%
57%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
AUR
4 - 0
RET
70%
19%
11%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
AUR
5 - 0
GAT
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CDD
2 - 3
AUR
40%
23%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
AUR
4 - 2
CDL
57%
23%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SDE
2 - 2
CDD
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CDL
3 - 1
SDE
22%
26%
52%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2017 |
SDE
2 - 1
URD
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
IUR
2 - 1
SDE
47%
26%
27%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
SDE
1 - 0
CDP
53%
24%
23%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |