Aurrera KE vs Real Sociedad C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
GER
3 - 1
AUR
76%
16%
8%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
BFC
0 - 1
AUR
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 1
SES
10%
19%
71%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
DEU
3 - 1
AUR
61%
22%
18%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 1
BEA
24%
27%
49%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
RSO
5 - 0
IKE
84%
11%
6%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 2
RSO
31%
23%
47%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
RSO
2 - 1
SFC
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 3
RSO
20%
22%
58%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
RSO
3 - 2
GER
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |