Aurrera De Leitza vs Universidad de Navarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
67.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera De Leitza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 2
SDA
29%
23%
48%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CDI
1 - 0
AUR
47%
22%
31%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MEN
3 - 1
AUR
79%
13%
8%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 3
DNT
14%
18%
67%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CDI
5 - 0
AUR
65%
19%
16%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad de Navarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CDU
1 - 0
AIB
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SDA
1 - 2
CDU
27%
23%
50%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 2
CDU
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CDU
4 - 2
CDI
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
CDU
1 - 3
CIH
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |