Aurora FC vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
44%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
COM
2 - 1
AUR
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ACH
0 - 0
AUR
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 2
DCA
38%
26%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 2
SAC
29%
28%
44%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 0
CFC
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
SAC
29%
28%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CON
3 - 0
DEP
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 1
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CON
3 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
CON
51%
26%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |