Aurora FC vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
ANT
2 - 0
AUR
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
COB
5 - 3
AUR
53%
22%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 0
AUR
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
AUR
2 - 1
ZAC
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
MUN
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
LEO
1 - 1
COB
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
LEO
0 - 2
ZAC
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
MUN
4 - 1
LEO
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
LEO
1 - 1
ANT
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LEO
2 - 0
JAL
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |