Aurillac Arpajon vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
AUR
63%
22%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 2
SPO
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
BEZ
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SAE
3 - 0
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 2
ASN
10%
20%
71%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
GAZ
2 - 1
OLY
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 1
GAZ
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GAZ
1 - 0
AGD
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
GAZ
1 - 1
LES
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
GAZ
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |