Aurillac Arpajon vs Ain Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
THI
2 - 1
AUR
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
AUR
5 - 1
CHA
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CLE
0 - 0
AUR
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
AIN
4 - 0
AUR
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
AUR
4 - 1
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
AIN
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
AIN
0 - 2
RVA
27%
22%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
AIN
26%
21%
53%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
AIN
4 - 0
AUR
41%
23%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
VAU
3 - 2
AIN
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |