National 3 Grupo M. Jor. 4

Aurillac Arpajon vs Ain Sud analysis

Aurillac Arpajon Ain Sud
30 ELO 26
-8.4% Tilt -12.1%
23813º General ELO ranking 9212º
556º Country ELO ranking 278º
ELO win probability
55.7%
Aurillac Arpajon
20.8%
Draw
23.5%
Ain Sud

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
Aurillac Arpajon
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.5%
Win probability
Ain Sud
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Aurillac Arpajon
Ain Sud
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aurillac Arpajon
Aurillac Arpajon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2019
THI
Thiers
2 - 1
Aurillac Arpajon
AUR
38%
25%
37%
31 27 4 0
24 Aug. 2019
AUR
Aurillac Arpajon
5 - 1
Chambéry
CHA
60%
22%
19%
30 24 6 +1
17 Aug. 2019
CLE
Clermont II
0 - 0
Aurillac Arpajon
AUR
55%
22%
23%
30 32 2 0
25 May. 2019
AIN
Ain Sud
4 - 0
Aurillac Arpajon
AUR
41%
23%
37%
32 27 5 -2
18 May. 2019
AUR
Aurillac Arpajon
4 - 1
Montluçon
MON
71%
17%
12%
31 21 10 +1

Matches

Ain Sud
Ain Sud
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2019
CHA
Chambéry
2 - 1
Ain Sud
AIN
35%
23%
42%
27 23 4 0
24 Aug. 2019
AIN
Ain Sud
0 - 2
Rumilly Vallières
RVA
27%
22%
52%
28 38 10 -1
17 Aug. 2019
MON
Montluçon
1 - 0
Ain Sud
AIN
26%
21%
53%
30 21 9 -2
25 May. 2019
AIN
Ain Sud
4 - 0
Aurillac Arpajon
AUR
41%
23%
37%
27 32 5 +3
18 May. 2019
VAU
Vaulx
3 - 2
Ain Sud
AIN
30%
23%
47%
28 23 5 -1
X