Oberliga NOFV South Round 18

Auerbach vs FC Grimma analysis

Auerbach FC Grimma
31 ELO 28
-3.2% Tilt 2.4%
4500º General ELO ranking 7056º
203º Country ELO ranking 355º
ELO win probability
52.5%
Auerbach
23.2%
Draw
24.3%
FC Grimma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
Auerbach
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.3%
Win probability
FC Grimma
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Auerbach
-20%
-32%
FC Grimma

ELO progression

Auerbach
FC Grimma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auerbach
Auerbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2006
BDR
Borea Dresden
1 - 1
Auerbach
AUE
57%
22%
21%
30 36 6 0
02 May. 2006
AUE
Auerbach
1 - 1
Energie Cottbus II
ENE
28%
23%
49%
30 38 8 0
29 Apr. 2006
BUD
Budissa Bautzen
1 - 0
Auerbach
AUE
62%
20%
17%
31 39 8 -1
26 Apr. 2006
AUE
Auerbach
0 - 2
VFC Plauen
PLA
16%
22%
62%
31 53 22 0
22 Apr. 2006
AUE
Auerbach
1 - 1
Germania Halberstadt
GER
28%
24%
48%
31 40 9 0

Matches

FC Grimma
FC Grimma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2006
SVG
FC Grimma
0 - 2
Energie Cottbus II
ENE
32%
25%
43%
30 38 8 0
30 Apr. 2006
POS
Possneck
1 - 1
FC Grimma
SVG
45%
26%
30%
30 29 1 0
23 Apr. 2006
SVG
FC Grimma
1 - 3
VFC Plauen
PLA
16%
24%
61%
31 52 21 -1
12 Apr. 2006
EIL
Eilenburg
2 - 0
FC Grimma
SVG
55%
23%
23%
32 36 4 -1
09 Apr. 2006
HAL
Hallescher FC
1 - 0
FC Grimma
SVG
72%
18%
10%
33 43 10 -1